Posts by Mike Verity
Time For The Fed To Act
Stocks opened broadly higher again this morning, brushing off a weaker than expected labor market report. The Dow is up 550 points and the S&P 500 is up .7%. Perhaps it’s all about expected interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve. And indeed, some of the sectors rallying the hardest—real estate, materials, financials—are the ones…
Read MoreBLS Gut-Punch
Markets opened cautiously, and modestly, higher this morning. The Dow is up around 100 points and the S&P 500 is up .1%. Treasury yields dipped slightly at the open, as markets cement expectations for a .25% rate cut at the next Federal Reserve policy meeting on September 17. We got more evidence that the job…
Read MoreJob Market Slowing; Rate Cuts To The Rescue
Stocks continue to push higher toward record levels despite political/geopolitical nonsense—and even in the face of a weaker job market report released this morning. The S&P 500, Dow, and Nasdaq all gained ~1% in today’s session. It is becoming increasingly clear that the labor market is softening a bit. For a while we’ve been referring…
Read MoreJava With Jayce – August 2025
Java With Jayce – August 2025
Read MoreThe Age of Mistrust
The Age of Mistrust 2025 feels disorienting. At the beginning of the year, rapidly shifting trade policies jolted markets into uncertainty. While there’s been incremental progress in negotiations, the climate remains unpredictable. Investors faced a whirlwind of threats, delays, and tentative deals, each one disrupting expectations. That lack of stability is compounded by a political…
Read MoreMike’s Market Review Video – May 2025
Mike’s Market Review Video – May 2025
Read MoreMoving Cautiously Forward
Moving Cautiously Forward US stock market averages have enjoyed a sort of tentative recovery phase since washing out earlier this month. Year-to-date the S&P 500 and Dow are down by only about 3%, and the Nasdaq is off by 6.5%. Certainly, it feels much worse than that given the extreme volatility we’ve experienced. Most…
Read MorePlaying Poker with Mr. Trump
The last 24 hours have been insane by any capital markets measure. This started a couple of days ago when interest yields on US Treasury bonds began to spike in an unusual way. That alerted everyone to huge selling volume. Through most of this stock market correction we’d seen steady buying into Treasuries, which are…
Read MoreIdeologue Vs. Pragmatist
Stocks surged in early trading this morning, but quickly gave way and are now about flat. Following a few really tough trading sessions, investors are beginning to pick through the wreckage for discounted stocks. The VIX fear gauge, which briefly jumped to 60 yesterday, backed down to around 47. Mirroring the stock market, safe-haven Treasury…
Read MorePresident Trump’s Liberation Day
Stocks tumbled in the wake of President Trump’s “Liberation Day” trade policy announcement on Wednesday. Since then, the Dow is off by 7.7%, and the S&P 500 is down 8.6%. Small & mid-caps, as well as the tech-heavy Nasdaq have been punished even more. On the other hand, bonds rallied, pushing interest yields sharply lower.…
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