The Age of Mistrust

The Age of Mistrust 2025 feels disorienting. At the beginning of the year, rapidly shifting trade policies jolted markets into uncertainty. While there’s been incremental progress in negotiations, the climate remains unpredictable. Investors faced a whirlwind of threats, delays, and tentative deals, each one disrupting expectations. That lack of stability is compounded by a political…

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Moving Cautiously Forward

Moving Cautiously Forward   US stock market averages have enjoyed a sort of tentative recovery phase since washing out earlier this month. Year-to-date the S&P 500 and Dow are down by only about 3%, and the Nasdaq is off by 6.5%. Certainly, it feels much worse than that given the extreme volatility we’ve experienced. Most…

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Playing Poker with Mr. Trump

The last 24 hours have been insane by any capital markets measure. This started a couple of days ago when interest yields on US Treasury bonds began to spike in an unusual way. That alerted everyone to huge selling volume. Through most of this stock market correction we’d seen steady buying into Treasuries, which are…

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Ideologue Vs. Pragmatist

market update, stocks, investment management, RIA

Stocks surged in early trading this morning, but quickly gave way and are now about flat. Following a few really tough trading sessions, investors are beginning to pick through the wreckage for discounted stocks. The VIX fear gauge, which briefly jumped to 60 yesterday, backed down to around 47. Mirroring the stock market, safe-haven Treasury…

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President Trump’s Liberation Day

Stocks tumbled in the wake of President Trump’s “Liberation Day” trade policy announcement on Wednesday. Since then, the Dow is off by 7.7%, and the S&P 500 is down 8.6%. Small & mid-caps, as well as the tech-heavy Nasdaq have been punished even more. On the other hand, bonds rallied, pushing interest yields sharply lower.…

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More Uncertainty, But No Panic

Investment news, market update

Stock market averages opened lower this morning (Dow -170 points; S&P 500 -.3%) on another trade tariff announcement from the Trump Administration. But there’s no sign of real panic. Yes, gold continues to inch up. But the VIX Index—measuring expected volatility in the near future—has stepped down to 18.5 from 28 three weeks ago. And…

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Recession Chatter

market update, Lighthouse Financial, RIA, Fee only

Stocks opened lower again this morning as the correction continues. From all-time highs on February 19, the Dow is down 6.5%, the S&P 500 is down 9% and the Nasdaq is off by nearly 12%. The VIX fear gauge is up around 27. Treasury bonds, seen as a safe-haven asset, are rallying. And recession chatter…

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